| They’re
back...
Pension funds vying for BCE? It’s déjà vu
all over again.
By Laurence
Booth, CIT Chair in Structured Finance, professor of finance, Rotman
School of Management, University of Toronto
In
April 2007, Bell Canada Enterprises Inc. (BCE) announced that it
was in non-exclusive talks with Kohlberg Kravis and Roberts (KKR),
the Canada Pension Plan (CPP) and the Caisse de dépôt
et placement du Québec. Subsequently, BCE has announced that
it is also in talks with the U.S. private equity company, Cerberus
Group, while the Ontario Teachers Pension Plan is also rumoured
to be actively considering a bid in partnership with the U.S. private
equity firm, Providence Equity Partners. Valued at close to CDN$40
billion, buying Canada’s biggest telephone company would be
the biggest Canadian deal ever and one of the biggest in North America.
So what is motivating the going private transaction of one of Canada’s
true icons?
To understand a possible BCE deal we have to contrast it with past
innovations and excesses. So let’s cycle back twenty years
ago to the go-go years of the 1980s when leveraged buyouts (LBOs)
were all the rage and see what we can learn. In Canada, People’s
Jewellers raised junk bond financing from Drexel and bought out
the largest diamond store in the world: Zales. Closer to home Gerry
Schwartz founded Onex and did Canada’s first homegrown LBO
with the buyout of American Can Canada from its U.S. parent. And,
of course, the granddaddy of the era was the KKR-led 1988 buyout
of RJR Nabisco for US$25 billion.
So what did these leveraged buyouts have in common? Willis and Clark
laid out the key factors: strong proven management; proven profitability;
predictable cash flows; intrinsic financial strength; quality assets;
distinctive market position; competitive strength; low technological
risk; non-cyclical. The Willis and Clark factors were pretty much
the same across most LBO shops and were the blueprint for a decade
of highly levered transactions.1
The
motivation for these transactions was twofold. The first was the
use of large amounts of debt to reduce taxable income and corporate
taxes—hence, the leverage in the LBO. By reducing corporate
taxes, the aggregate amount of cash flows available to private investors
is increased. In other words, LBOs maximized the use of debt tax
shields and the fact that interest is tax deductible. The second
was the minimization of agency problems. In highly levered transactions,
where management has a small stake in the equity, there is no incentive
to undertake corporate empire building. Instead all cash flows are
devoted to the survival of the firm and paying down debt, so that
the firm could exit via an IPO or other transaction in five or so
years’ time. For some firms the minimization of these agency
problems was a huge plus, particularly during the unwinding of the
conglomerate mergers of the 1960s and, 70s.
These two objectives could be accomplished for firms that met the
LBO criteria since, in essence, all the factors boiled down to one
simple definition of low business risk coupled with minimal future
capital expenditures. The low business risk was necessary to support
the 60% senior and 30% mezzanine debt financing typical of LBO structures
priced at 6.5 times EBIT. The low capital expenditure was then necessary
to ensure that future cash flows could be used for debt reduction
rather than for a necessary expansion or maintenance of the business.
An important feature of the prototypical LBO structure was that
the debt was external debt, that is, debt owed to third parties,
normally syndicated bank debt or junk bonds. Junk bonds by definition
were non-investment grade debt issues (sub BBB-) with the twist
added by Michael Milken that these were original-issue junk bonds,
not fallen angels. However, as third-party debt, default on principal
or interest payments would still trigger bankruptcy or reorganization.
The key to LBOs was thus low business risk able to support large
amounts of tax-deductible debt financing through a five-year forecast
horizon. The fact that the debt was available was due to the innovation
of Drexel and Michael Milken that made original-issue junk bonds
a cheap source of financing. As always, it was this innovative twist
that made LBOs the star of the, ‘80s.
LBOs peaked with the business cycle in 1989 with the RJR Nabisco
LBO in 1988, the late cycle deal that never quite made it for KKR.
Simply put, there was too much money chasing too few deals by the
end of the 1980s, which made the RJR Nabisco deal expensive. The
deal more or less coincided with the implosion of Drexel and Michael
Milken’s investigation for securities irregularities. As the
economy slipped into recession, junk bond financing became more
difficult to obtain and a new cycle started with new twists on old
deals.
But
as one vehicle dies, another is created, in this case for Canada
it was the business trust market. The first oil and gas royalty
trust was Enerplus Royalty Trust in 1986. However, fast-forward
to the late 1990s and business trusts were developed to complement
Oil and Gas royalty trusts and real estate investment trusts (REITS).
So what have business trusts to do with LBOs? The key is that they
are motivated by the same two basic principles of aligning the incentives
of managers and investors and reducing taxes.
The basic structure of a business trust is that the trust owns both
the debt and equity securities issued by an operating company. As
a trust, organized similar to a mutual fund, these interest and
dividend payments and any return of capital can be returned to the
unit holders without any tax. A brief look at any income trust will
show that the debt is often high-coupon and designed to reduce the
taxes paid by the operating company. The result is that taxes are
minimized similar to an LBO and with the flowthrough of income to
the retail market as a yield product, agency problems are again
reduced.
Unlike an LBO, however, where the low business risk supported the
external debt, in an income trust, the debt is held by the same
party as the equity. In the event of any payment problems the debt
holders are unlikely to enforce action against the equity holders,
since they are the same party. In this way the distress costs of
excessive debt structure are removed while the tax reduction remains.
Income (business) trusts boomed in Canada and dominated IPOs from
2003 to 2006, but in October 2006 BCE announced that it was considering
a conversion to an income trust. The Canada Revenue Agency could
see Bell Canada’s CDN$0.8 billion of corporate income taxes
disappearing, before even considering the implications for other
large Canadian firms. On Halloween night the Minister of Finance
announced a new distribution tax that would effectively tax income
trusts the same as regular corporations in four years’ time.
From LBO and private equity to income trusts to…you guessed
it: if the advantages of tax and agency cost reduction are there
to be had in higher valuations, then they will be realized in some
way. Unlike the income trust market that was dominated by smaller
firm IPOs, private equity deals have to be big. So whereas the typical
income trust could not capture the attention of KKR, CPP and OTPP,
BCE can.
So what is this cycle’s twist on the LBO? Back in the 1980s
OTPP and CPP and other public pension plans invested primarily in
provincial bonds, while infrastructure assets were largely in government
hands. Now these large public plans invest in public markets and
have a voracious appetite for infrastructure assets with regulated
returns that they can use to match their long term inflation-indexed
liabilities. OTPP was a potential investor when Ontario Hydro was
on the block to be privatized in 2002, and now guess what it along
with CPP and the Caisse is in for Bell Canada. A highly debt-structured
deal for Bell Canada involving the participation of OTPP, CPP or
the Caisse will result in similar tax losses to Ottawa as an income
trust conversion. As financial “guru” Yogi Berra might
have said, “Oh my god, it’s déjà vu all
over again.”
Endnotes
1. John Willis and David Clark, “An introduction
to mezzanine finance and private equity,” Continental
Bank Journal of Applied Corporate Finance, (Summer) 1989.”
For
a pdf version of this story, click
here.
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