| Reality
Check
A
pension fund perspective on long/short equity hedge funds.
By Dave Finstad,
director, hedge funds and external equity, Alberta Investment Management.
Hedge funds have evolved
into a $2 trillion industry, moving into the mainstream among institutional
investors. With new financial instruments and esoteric strategies
popping up on a regular basis, it appears to this observer that
many long/short equity managers have a long way to go in order to
convince institutional investors, and many plan sponsors, of their
value.
To start, there are
low barriers to entry—and the strategy is relatively simple.
Just about any long-only stock picker who has a prime broker, an
administrator, some willing (and preferably wealthy) clients and
some negative views on a few overpriced stocks can start a long/short
equity hedge fund. It might not be quite that simple, but compared
to many other strategies, a long/short equity fund is relatively
easy to start up. Prospective managers don’t need to negotiate
complicated deals and they don’t need to know what a CDS,
an ABX or a CDO is. One of the problems with low barrier to entry
industries like long/short equity is that these industries have
a relatively low proportion of true success stories.
A matter of
fees
At the same time, long/short equity fees are one of the most difficult
to justify. I always find it hard to watch a manager charge 50 basis
points (give or take) for a longonly product, then start selling
short a few stocks and bump up their fees to 1% and 20% or 2% and
20%. These fees are appropriate for those few managers who can consistently
deliver significant and real alpha. However, a big issue is created
with the 20% incentive fee that goes toward beta that institutional
investors can get very inexpensively elsewhere.
For example, the average
manager in the HFRI Equity Hedge (long/short equity) index had a
return of 12.8% with an S&P 500 equity beta of just over 0.5
for the four years ending June 2007. With an S&P 500 return
of 13.5%, short-term interest rates of 3.4% over this period and
assuming an average fee schedule of 1.5% and 20%; the gross beta-adjusted
alpha generated by the average manager was about 9.0% and the net
alpha delivered to the investors was 4.3%.
This implies that the
manager kept 52% of the gross alpha. These results aren’t
too bad until you consider that the HFRI index includes a number
of managers that are closed and likely has significant survivor
bias, which has been estimated at up to 4% per year (e.g. an imploding
manager that is about to close down is not likely to send their
results to a hedge fund index provider—thus creating survivor
bias). Therefore, an investible index like the HFRX index may give
a truer picture of performance. The HFRX Equity Hedge index was
up just 6.7% over this period, with a similar beta around 0.5. This
translates into a gross alpha of 1.5%, a net alpha of -1.7% and
the manager keeping 213% of the gross alpha.
Over the hurdle
A solution to this problem would be to introduce an appropriate
hurdle before incentive fees are collected. The vast majority of
long/short equity funds charge an incentive fund without a hurdle—that
is, everything above a 0% return is subject to the typical 20% manager’s
cut. However, if the manager averaged or expected to average having
an equity beta of, say, 0.4 over the long term, then the performance
hurdle should be based on 40% of the return of the S&P 500 (or
the Russell 3000, the S&P/TSX Composite, the MSCI World or whichever
pond the manager is fishing from) plus 60% of the cash (e.g. T-bills
or LIBOR) return.
This type of hurdle
is warranted because an investor can replicate this benchmark easily
and inexpensively by investing 40% in the equity index and 60% in
cash. In the HFRX example above, an investor could have outperformed
the index by 1.7% just by putting 50% of their portfolio in cash
and 50% in the S&P 500 index. (Note: most market neutral equity
funds—a cousin of long/short equity—do have a hurdle
such as LIBOR or T-bills).
The ETF option
When it comes to replicating long/short equity returns, investors
could take the process one step further by replacing an investment
in the index with exchange traded funds (ETFs). Many ETFs available
today are rules-based approaches that represent quasi-active management
or exotic (alternative) betas. For example, there are ETFs that
invest in value stocks or in stocks with a history of growing dividends.
Therefore, an investor has a choice between paying 1.5% and 20%
for a long/short equity hedge fund or putting a portion of their
investments in cash and a portion in an exotic beta ETF (which typically
charge in the range of 50-75 basis points and can be purchased or
sold short). An investor needs to be very confident in their manager’s
alpha-generating potential before dismissing the replicating option.
Another threat to long/short
equity managers is the recent introduction of 130/30 or 120/20 type
mandates (sometimes referred to as net long or extended alpha).
A 130/30 manager has $130 of long equity exposure and $30 of short
equity exposure for every $100 of capital; for a total of $160 or
160% active management. This compares to a long/short equity hedge
fund that typically has about 70-150% long exposure and 30-70% short
exposure. In other words, the 130/30 manager has a similar level
of gross active management, but charges much lower fees—normally
a flat fee of 75-100 bps or a management fee of 20-30 bps plus a
20% performance fee above the equity index hurdle.
Investors can create
their own synthetic market neutral fund by using derivatives to
remove the equity beta, or they can create a synthetic long/short
equity hedge fund by removing a portion (e.g. 50%) of the equity
beta.
The right time
It should be noted, however, that one major weapon the long/short
equity manager possesses versus the replicators and the 130/30 managers
is the possibility to successfully time the market. By increasing
market exposure during bull markets and decreasing market exposure
or even going net short in bear markets, a long/short manager could
add significant value. The problem is that market timing is inherently
difficult and determining if someone has market-timing skill is
perhaps equally difficult. This is because big topdown events are
few and far between as compared to stock selection, which provides
a wide breadth of opportunities.
Finally, long/short
equity is just not as compelling as a number of other more interesting
hedge fund strategies. Without going into detail, a few of these
strategies include event-driven, activism, asset-based lending,
reinsurance and energy trading. In general, what these strategies
have in common is that: they invest in less efficient markets, they
rely on more creative deal making, and they offer unique, uncorrelated
return streams.
Ultimately,
long/short equity hedge funds face a number of issues in the eyes
of institutional investors. These are the low average quality tag
that comes from being in an industry segment with low barriers to
entry, their fees may be difficult to justify, they face competition
from replicating hedge funds and from 130/30 managers, and other
hedge fund strategies appear to be a lot more interesting. That
said, however, like any investment strategy, there are a few exceptional
long/short equity hedge fund managers out there—it just takes
a little work to find them.
For
a pdf version of this story, click
here.
|