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As government issuance declines, both individual and institutional
investors must consider corporate investments as a larger part of
their fixed income portfolios. These investments, which include
corporate bonds and loans, provide enhanced yield to compensate
investors for the credit risk inherent in these debt obligations.
Credit risk must be managed as part of an overall program, just
as any other risk exposure.
Investors' exposure to credit risk will increase in the years to
come. Defaults in the first half of 2000 have reached levels not
seen since the recession of the early 1990s. More market participants
than ever will find themselves exposed to losses due to credit risk.
This creates tremendous performance opportunities, but also introduces
increased risk in an area that will be relatively new to some investors.
Here we introduce three credit-derivative instruments being utilized
by market participants to reduce, increase and/or diversify their
exposure to credit risk.
Credit default swaps
Credit Default Swaps can be compared to insurance contracts; a premium
is paid by one counterparty to another counterparty who makes a
lump sum payment only if a pre-defined "credit event"
has occurred (see Figure 1). Default Swaps not only allow an investor
to diversify exposure by going long a new credit but also provide
a way to short a credit. Either can be achieved without having to
buy or sell a cash instrument.
Terms can be customized to match specific needs, but the market
is currently attempting to standardize the contracts to promote
ease of trading. Greater trading potential will mean more liquidity
and tighter pricing.
The Default Swap market in Canadian names is in the early stages
of development. However, interesting transactions have been completed
and opportunities continue to develop.
Total return swaps
Investors often have to forgo attractive investment opportunities
because of tax, jurisdictional, accounting or other issues. Many
of these opportunities can be accessed via a Total Return Swap,
where an investor utilizes another company's balance sheet and realizes
the return on the target investment through a financially efficient
swap (see Figure 2).
Total Return Swaps can also provide a means of leveraging the investment
by providing funding for the investor (possibly up to 100%, although
some initial margin is usually required).
Total Return Swaps can be a valuable tool in the quest for diversification
by providing access to new investments and asset classes. Securitized
products
Diversification remains the best way to insure against significant
losses due to credit exposures. The most efficient way to participate
in a large and diversified pool of assets with one purchase is to
buy a note from a CBO, CLO or CDO (Collateralized Bond/Loan/Debt
Obligation respectively) structure. CDO collateral has traditionally
been composed of a mixture of bonds and loans but more recently,
"second generation" structures have also included CBO/CLO/CDO
notes themselves. CLOs, in particular, offer investors the opportunity
to invest in the performance of a non-traditional class of assets:
corporate and commercial loans. Access to Bank Loans expands the
Universe of credit counterparties. In addition, Bank Loans have
had higher historical recovery rates than similarly ranked bonds,
thus making the risk/reward comparison attractive.
In a single purchase, a CLO or CDO note can provide access to as
many as 25 to 150 obligors from a wide variety of industries. The
notes issued are divided into tranches corresponding to different
subordination levels. Subordination provides noteholders significant
protection from losses in the underlying loan pool. It is typical
that the structure sponsor and/or manager retains at least a portion
of the equity or "first loss" tranche. Spreads paid to
each tranche are commensurate to their risk, thus providing further
opportunity for customization to investors' risk/reward preferences.
Figure 3 illustrates a simplified CLO structure.
Conclusion
The tools described can be used as part of a proactive program to
access a broader range of credit opportunities and reduce risk through
diversification. The notion of an ongoing program is important.
Those who would manage their exposures only when conditions for
a specific name, or credits in general, are deteriorating will find
liquidity and pricing punitive.
Craig Shepherd is Managing Director and Alain Belanger is Director
of Credit Trading & Structuring at Scotia Capital in Toronto.
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